Emerson College Polling Society

The overarching goal of the ECPS is to create an opportunity for a dialogue among the student body and the general public on issues of the day and a subsequent forum to communicate relevant information on such ideas that advances a major shared objective across academia, business and government – a greater appreciation of civic engagement. ​​

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slester18 asked: SInce I no longer have a Facebook account, I will be sending my Public Policy Tuesday posts here instead: In a recent Quinnipiac University poll, 88% of people are in support of background checks for all gun buyers, while only 10% oppose this idea.

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Emerson College Polling Society awakens after seven-year hiatus

Emerson College Polling Society awakens after seven-year hiatus



  VIA EMERSON COLLEGE POLLING SOCIETY

Emerson College Polling Society members Jordan Del Guerico and Felix Chen analyze data.

“Gun control is definitely an issue we wanted to look at considering the recent shootings… It is important to get an idea of what the masses really think. We can’t just assume.” Emerson College Polling Society member Felix Chen, 20.


MORGAN ROUSSEAU
MORGAN ROUSSEAU
Published: December 20, 2012 12:57 p.m.
Last modified: December 20, 2012 5:04 p.m.
A group of Emerson College students today released a poll that says Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick will likely fill U.S. Senator John Kerry’s seat if he takes over for Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.

The Emerson College Polling Societyhas been dormant for about seven years, but less than a month ago the student group published its first survey since 2005 with the hope of keeping the masses informed.

Today’s poll is the first to examine the anticipated special election.

About 1,050 registered Massachusetts voters were polled between Sunday and Tuesday by means of automated phone calls. Their feedback put Patrick ahead of U.S. Senator Scott Brown (48 percent to 43 percent) as well as former Governor William Weld (50 percent to 32 percent).

“Last year we learned the skills necessary to do the polling,” said 20-year-old Communications student Felix Chen, who headed up the poll. “This being the 2012 election season, there was a tremendous interest among the student population.”

This recent rekindling of the polling club will likely be the start of a new era for the group.

“Our plan is to publish a poll every week when we come back next semester. People appreciate it because most of the time we think about what is important in our life, not what happens in the broader picture,” said Chen.

On Nov. 29 the group released its first poll since February 2005 - a national poll that examined the Fiscal Cliff. Then on Dec. 11, it put out findings onveterans who seek anonymous treatment of PTSD.

The first poll of the New Year will focus on public attitudes toward gun control; a timely topic considering last week’s mass shooting in Newtown, C.T.

The polling club gets help from Spencer Kimball, a scholar-in-residence in the Communication Studies Department who is also a freelance political consultant.

“We are hoping it will help facilitate a discussion about guns. To me its great to see students engaged in this type of conversation,” said Kimball.

Emerson College President Lee Pelton recently put out a plea to college presidents across the nation asking to lead campus discussions next semester on how best to address gun violence in America.

While a difference of opinion is unavoidable, Chen said he believes it is helpful to gather data, organize it and put it out in the public sphere.

“Gun control is definitely an issue we wanted to look at considering the recent shootings… It is important to get an idea of what the masses really think. We can’t just assume,” he said.

The polling society is mostly made up of political communication students, Kimball said, however members are hoping to recruit more journalism and marketing students.

“One of the biggest hurdles at Emerson is a phobia of numbers. We are working on showing it’s really not as complicated as it looks if you understand the process,” he said.

Today’s poll also shows that Brown leads Vicki Kennedy, the widow of U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy by 46 percent to 40 percent. 

While Patrick may win the head-to-head contest, 38 percent of those surveyed believed Brown would be the next U.S. Senator, 14 percent named Patrick, followed by 10 percent selecting Attorney General Martha Coakley then Kennedy with 7 percent, and former Governor Weld with 3 percent.

In a hypothetical competitive primary between Patrick, Kennedy, Coakley and Congressman Mike Capuano, there was no clear front runner, according the poll. 

Patrick got 20 percent of Democrat voters support while Kennedy was within the margin at 16 percent, Capuano at 13 percent and Coakley had 11 percent. 

Thirty-percent of Democrat primary voters were undecided.

Brown has overwhelming support among GOP voters to be their party nominee, ahead of Weld by the comfortable margin of 80 percent to 7 percent, among those polled.
Source

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Student polling club looks at Sen. Kerry’s seat

Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick has a strong chance to win U.S. Senator John Kerry’s seat if he’s chosen to replace outgoing U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton, according to a student polling club.

The Emerson College Polling Society will release its poll – anticipated to be the first to examine the likely special election – on Thursday, December 20.

The polling society is a student-run group and does not represent the views of Emerson College.

Kerry, the five-term Democratic U.S. Senator from Massachusetts, is widely speculated as President Obama’s pick to replace Clinton as Secretary of State, but Obama has not made an announcement publicly. If Kerry accepts the position, a special election would be held for his senate seat.

Patrick, a Democrat, would lead both Republican U.S. Senator Scott Brown (48% to 43%) and former Governor William Weld, a Republican (50% to 32%), according to the poll.

Brown recently lost his seat to Democrat Elizabeth Warren, who will be sworn into office next month.

However, according to the poll, if Brown runs for Kerry’s seat, he would beat Victoria Kennedy, widow of Democratic U.S. Senator Ted Kennedy, by 46 percent to 40 percent.

If Kerry vacates his seat, he will leave a 63 percent favorable rating and the support of nearly 59 percent of Massachusetts voters to become Secretary of State. Under the law, a special election to fill the seat must be held between 145 days and 160 days after the vacancy.

The poll also asks participants if they would vote for other recognizable political figures to replace Kerry, including Attorney General Martha Coakley, a Democrat; U.S. Representative Michael Capuano, a Democrat; former Republican State Representative Karen Polito; and Republican Jack E. Robinson, who lost a U.S. Senate race to Ted Kennedy in 2000.

The student pollsters used an automated data collection service to contact 10,000 Bay State homes between December 16 and 18 – taking answers from 1,053 people – on who they would vote for to replace Kerry. The margin of error is about 3 percent.

The polling society is a student-run group with assistance from an advisor, Spencer Kimball, scholar-in-residence in the Communication Studies Department, who is also a freelance political consultant.

“Going into the holidays, the poll gives people something to talk about,” Kimball said. “And it helps our students learn how public opinion is shaped.”

Kimball said the club uses the same methodology as the firm Public Policy Polling, which accurately predicted the 2012 presidential election in all nine battleground states and most others, according to Politico

For detailed information on the polling results, visitEmersonCollegePollingSociety.com.

Last week the polling society released its findings on the effects of post-traumatic stress disorder on soldiers. Next month the group will tackle a poll on gun control, an issue thrust into the national spotlight after the elementary school shooting inNewtown, Connecticut.

“Because of the shooting in Connecticut, we assume everyone believes we have to control gun violence, but we have to see if the public agrees or disagrees,” said Felix Chen ’14, a Communication Studies major and chief analyst of the polling club. “It’s really important to look at the whole picture than to just imagine what other people think.”

Polling club kids

Felix Chen ‘14 and Michael Dunlevy ‘14 of the Emerson student polling club.

Kimball said the student polling group was dormant the last few years, but became active again in recent months due to the presidential election.

“You don’t learn how to swim by reading a book,” Kimball said. “In order for our students to understand polling and how it impacts policy, you need to jump in and see how it’s done.”

“It’s a good skill to have coming out of college,” said Michael Dunlevy ’14, aPolitical Communication major and polling club member. “It’s a fine, concrete skill that can be applied after we graduate.”

Source:

http://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/student-polling-club-looks-sen-kerrys-seat#.UPsOW45XWYQ